Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 87.285145 97.427382 107.787186 119.130280 131.170717 143.541691 157.184377
2025-01-26 73.756266 88.618926 104.442844 122.422449 142.167031 163.080351 186.797983
2025-02-02 65.663371 83.312247 102.673197 125.242333 150.593681 177.976009 209.576592
2025-02-09 57.093345 76.362690 98.109959 124.063080 153.808111 186.485948 224.760298
2025-02-16 50.121206 70.494703 94.106476 122.890166 156.469832 193.904103 238.302156
2025-02-23 45.408474 66.841924 92.275368 123.854627 161.251651 203.449756 254.011531
2025-03-02 40.817496 62.923213 89.778679 123.723389 164.497858 211.030842 267.313755
2025-03-09 37.224399 59.955252 88.183116 124.446039 168.561849 219.411319 281.419318
2025-03-16 33.139385 56.017975 85.113197 123.136505 170.006868 224.582958 291.686123
2025-03-23 30.805948 54.232962 84.617520 124.879300 175.030182 233.892519 306.729461
2025-03-30 28.836800 52.789622 84.440723 126.923146 180.348058 243.505786 322.106541
2025-04-06 25.977206 49.872238 82.160078 126.154748 182.094742 248.770579 332.288500
2025-04-13 22.641712 46.039877 78.503756 123.513946 181.464979 251.174871 339.121627
2025-04-20 21.871144 45.984287 79.949936 127.502459 189.149965 263.678526 358.069943
2025-04-27 20.779298 45.343419 80.523610 130.296537 195.299151 274.301889 374.769638
2025-05-04 18.537886 42.715476 78.179696 129.103017 196.292107 278.551148 383.746198
2025-05-11 16.499253 40.235334 75.911222 127.899117 197.183920 282.611360 392.446539
2025-05-18 15.241598 38.951139 75.298521 128.887589 200.868220 290.107364 405.318002
2025-05-25 13.793791 37.210246 73.921347 128.753083 203.037682 295.682704 415.824213
2025-06-01 12.680015 35.961891 73.211813 129.493442 206.318803 302.629746 428.006970
2025-06-08 11.176790 33.847974 71.079264 128.151799 206.785950 305.991813 435.744610
2025-06-15 10.479474 33.199498 71.171750 129.937296 211.396502 314.588195 449.960873
2025-06-22 9.893835 32.716894 71.492933 132.030921 216.412232 323.702974 464.835656